The European Institute's Institute for Prospective
Technology Studies just published a report to map and predict major changes to
education and training over the next 15 years at http://ipts.jrc.ec.europa.eu/publications/pub.cfm?id=3419
The report took 13 education experts, had them create lists of changes that they thought should or would occur, and then rank those statements between 0 and 5, based on importance and likelihood.
There were a total of 203 statements analyzed. Of the ones that were deemed important (at least a 4), here are the ones that are highly likely (at least a 4), in sequence of feasibility. I've paraphrased the statements, as some used academic jargon.
- There will be digital library services available to students
- Students will learn in organized groups, and this will be complemented by learning in loosely connected networks (like social networks)
- Students will do at least some of their learning through projects, and new models for project based learning will arise
- Technology will ameliorate time and space barriers to learning
- There will be services on the internet which will be like digital classrooms or digital learning environments
- There will be an abundance of easily available learning resources, although there will still exist the challenge of finding the best and most relevant
- Learning programs will be more flexible than they are now
- Courses will be available in different forms (text, online, mobile, teacher based, and instructions)
- Education institutions will expand across borders
- Learning will be more integrated with daily life
- Many students will partake in Open Learning over the internet, and Open Education resources, mostly free, will become widely adopted
- College and University students will routinely be able to take courses around and within their work schedules
- Students will combine working and learning
Perhaps the greatest opportunities will be in finding how to enable the most important changes, especially those that the experts deemed were relatively unlikely to happen. The most important changes (greater than 4.4) that are relatively unlikely (less than 4) follow, from most important to least.
- Lifelong learning will be common and natural
- Getting free education and education content will be regarded as a basic human right, with abundant and appropriate accessible, affordable education.
- Traditional disciplinary boundaries will break down, with learners able to craft individual programs based on multi- and inter-disciplinary learning.
- Most teachers will have and use coaching and mentoring skills.
- Learners will have more opportunities to find co-learners wo share their learning goals and preferences.
- Findings from social and cognitive research will be routinely embedded in pedagogical processes
- Learners will learn how to, and will, take control of their own learning, , picking up relevant learning resources from what is there and building their own learning trajectories around them